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Foster Capital Growth
(111648302)

Created by: FosterCapital FosterCapital
Started: 05/2017
Stocks
Last trade: Yesterday
Trading style: Equity Sector: Technology

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $90.00 per month.

C2Star

C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

Trading Category: Equity
Sector: Technology
Category: Equity

Sector: Technology

Focuses primarily on stocks of technology companies.
20.5%
Annual Return (Compounded)

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return is calculated

= ((Ending_equity / Starting_equity) ^ (1 / age_in_years)) - 1

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

(25.6%)
Max Drawdown
391
Num Trades
39.6%
Win Trades
1.5 : 1
Profit Factor
57.7%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2017                            +4.9%(8.6%)+10.8%+7.2%+2.8%+13.5%+4.0%+7.1%+47.9%
2018+2.8%(15.8%)(1.9%)(0.1%)+2.6%+3.4%(2.5%)+26.5%+2.2%(14.1%)(5.4%)(4.7%)(12.2%)
2019+8.2%+8.8%(1.6%)+8.6%(7.6%)(1.8%)                                    +14.2%

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

Trading Record

This strategy has placed 106 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

Download CSV
Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQtyAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
6/10/19 10:09 RNG RINGCENTRAL INC. LONG 38 125.83 6/24 9:59 112.41 0.56%
Trade id #124002993
Max drawdown($423)
Time6/10/19 10:09
Quant open38
Worst price114.67
Drawdown as % of equity-0.56%
($511)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.76
6/13/19 10:57 IIPR INNOVATIVE INDUSTRIAL PROPERTIES INC LONG 41 99.65 6/20 9:49 136.27 0.05%
Trade id #124067421
Max drawdown($33)
Time6/13/19 10:57
Quant open41
Worst price98.82
Drawdown as % of equity-0.05%
$1,500
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.82
6/7/19 10:44 V VISA LONG 65 171.07 6/18 9:36 169.81 0.22%
Trade id #123979483
Max drawdown($172)
Time6/11/19 11:47
Quant open65
Worst price168.42
Drawdown as % of equity-0.22%
($83)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.30
6/13/19 11:32 CTAS CINTAS LONG 45 235.88 6/17 12:40 233.82 0.13%
Trade id #124068388
Max drawdown($100)
Time6/17/19 12:04
Quant open45
Worst price233.65
Drawdown as % of equity-0.13%
($94)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.90
6/13/19 11:36 MA MASTERCARD LONG 36 261.82 6/14 11:05 261.08 0.11%
Trade id #124068504
Max drawdown($86)
Time6/14/19 9:33
Quant open36
Worst price259.42
Drawdown as % of equity-0.11%
($28)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.72
6/10/19 9:50 UPLD UPLAND SOFTWARE INC. COMMON S LONG 86 52.59 6/12 9:47 46.64 0.68%
Trade id #124002420
Max drawdown($512)
Time6/12/19 9:47
Quant open0
Worst price46.64
Drawdown as % of equity-0.68%
($514)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.72
1/15/19 10:09 ZS ZSCALER INC. COMMON STOCK LONG 102 56.70 5/29 15:13 72.30 n/a $1,590
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.04
1/10/19 13:27 ZEN ZENDESK INC LONG 79 63.02 5/29 15:13 85.12 n/a $1,744
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.58
3/11/19 15:24 VEEV VEEVA SYSTEMS INC LONG 50 118.27 5/29 15:13 135.93 n/a $882
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.00
3/11/19 15:50 UPLD UPLAND SOFTWARE INC. COMMON S LONG 114 40.42 5/29 15:13 47.72 n/a $830
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.28
5/15/19 11:07 TEAM ATLASSIAN CORPORATION PLC CLASS A ORDINARY SHARES LONG 37 125.72 5/29 15:13 123.26 0.14%
Trade id #123681261
Max drawdown($108)
Time5/29/19 9:41
Quant open37
Worst price122.78
Drawdown as % of equity-0.14%
($92)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.74
5/15/19 11:51 RNG RINGCENTRAL INC. LONG 39 119.93 5/29 15:12 119.12 0.13%
Trade id #123682698
Max drawdown($104)
Time5/23/19 12:59
Quant open39
Worst price117.26
Drawdown as % of equity-0.13%
($33)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.78
5/15/19 11:48 PYPL PAYPAL HOLDINGS CORP LONG 67 111.74 5/29 15:12 109.79 0.23%
Trade id #123682602
Max drawdown($179)
Time5/23/19 14:52
Quant open67
Worst price109.06
Drawdown as % of equity-0.23%
($132)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.34
3/20/19 15:17 PCTY PAYLOCITY HOLDING CORPORATION LONG 53 88.24 5/29 15:12 100.16 n/a $631
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.06
2/7/19 10:58 PAYC PAYCOM SOFTWARE INC LONG 31 169.99 5/29 15:12 205.33 n/a $1,095
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.62
3/14/19 14:56 NOW SERVICENOW LONG 16 242.64 5/29 15:12 263.56 n/a $335
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.32
2/21/19 12:51 NMIH NMI HOLDINGS INC. CLASS A COMM LONG 200 24.82 5/29 15:12 27.91 n/a $613
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.00
5/15/19 11:54 HUBS HUBSPOT INC LONG 25 182.87 5/29 15:12 177.34 0.18%
Trade id #123682773
Max drawdown($138)
Time5/29/19 15:12
Quant open13
Worst price176.36
Drawdown as % of equity-0.18%
($139)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.50
5/15/19 11:47 DAVA ENDAVA PLC LONG 100 35.50 5/29 15:12 36.48 0.4%
Trade id #123682572
Max drawdown($325)
Time5/20/19 9:35
Quant open100
Worst price32.25
Drawdown as % of equity-0.40%
$96
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.00
5/28/19 13:50 CYBR CYBERARK SOFTWARE LTD. ORDINAR LONG 39 136.48 5/29 15:11 131.69 0.24%
Trade id #123847847
Max drawdown($187)
Time5/29/19 15:11
Quant open20
Worst price130.83
Drawdown as % of equity-0.24%
($188)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.78
2/1/19 11:31 COUP COUPA SOFTWARE INCORPORATED COMMON STOCK LONG 46 89.75 5/29 15:11 99.98 0.23%
Trade id #122318310
Max drawdown($177)
Time3/27/19 11:50
Quant open46
Worst price85.90
Drawdown as % of equity-0.23%
$470
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.92
4/8/19 10:51 LULU LULULEMON ATHLETICA LONG 36 169.37 5/29 11:08 166.81 0.15%
Trade id #123239866
Max drawdown($118)
Time5/29/19 11:03
Quant open36
Worst price166.07
Drawdown as % of equity-0.15%
($93)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.72
1/15/19 9:55 CYBR CYBERARK SOFTWARE LTD. ORDINAR LONG 63 79.58 5/28 11:03 124.34 0.07%
Trade id #121978992
Max drawdown($50)
Time1/28/19 9:56
Quant open63
Worst price78.78
Drawdown as % of equity-0.07%
$2,819
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.26
4/8/19 11:02 MRCY MERCURY SYSTEMS LONG 82 65.70 5/23 14:36 67.63 n/a $156
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.64
4/16/19 10:52 CRMT AMERICA'S CAR-MART LONG 22 97.00 5/22 10:34 85.92 0.3%
Trade id #123328311
Max drawdown($244)
Time5/22/19 10:34
Quant open0
Worst price85.92
Drawdown as % of equity-0.30%
($244)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.44
1/31/19 9:54 MTCH MATCH GROUP INC. COMMON STOCK LONG 76 53.90 5/16 10:57 67.50 0.16%
Trade id #122290177
Max drawdown($121)
Time3/8/19 9:32
Quant open76
Worst price52.30
Drawdown as % of equity-0.16%
$1,031
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.52
4/16/19 10:46 FIVE FIVE BELOW INC LONG 39 137.54 5/15 9:30 124.36 0.65%
Trade id #123328240
Max drawdown($514)
Time5/15/19 9:30
Quant open0
Worst price124.36
Drawdown as % of equity-0.65%
($515)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.78
3/26/19 13:37 MIME MIMECAST LIMITED ORDINARY SHARES LONG 78 46.84 5/14 9:30 46.70 0.09%
Trade id #123082505
Max drawdown($65)
Time5/13/19 16:38
Quant open78
Worst price46.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.09%
($13)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.56
1/25/19 11:17 EPAM EPAM SYSTEMS LONG 48 138.77 5/13 13:27 166.41 n/a $1,325
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.96
2/22/19 13:13 NXST NEXSTAR MEDIA GROUP LONG 56 93.29 5/13 13:13 114.58 0.03%
Trade id #122647300
Max drawdown($23)
Time2/25/19 15:57
Quant open29
Worst price90.65
Drawdown as % of equity-0.03%
$1,191
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.12

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    5/17/2017
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $15,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    768.51
  • Age
    26 months ago
  • What it trades
    Stocks
  • # Trades
    391
  • # Profitable
    155
  • % Profitable
    39.60%
  • Avg trade duration
    32.1 days
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    25.56%
  • drawdown period
    Sept 14, 2018 - Jan 15, 2019
  • Annual Return (Compounded)
    20.5%
  • Avg win
    $589.77
  • Avg loss
    $306.85
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $4,722
  • Margin Used
    $0
  • Buying Power
    $3,189
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    1.48:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    0.69
  • Sortino Ratio
    0.94
  • Calmar Ratio
    1.072
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Correlation to SP500
    0.38590
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    20.5%
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    22.7%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    50.00%
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    20.00%
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    7.00%
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    0.50%
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    n/a
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    0
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    687
  • C2 Score
    49.9
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    0
  • TOS percent
    n/a
  • Subscription Price
  • Billing Period (days)
    30
  • Trial Days
    0
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Loss
    $307
  • Avg Win
    $590
  • # Winners
    155
  • # Losers
    236
  • % Winners
    39.6%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    46258.10
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    770.97
  • Avg Trade Length
    32.1 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    5
  • Leverage
  • Daily leverage (average)
    1.62
  • Daily leverage (max)
    2.14
  • Unknown
  • Alpha
    0.04
  • Beta
    0.74
  • Treynor Index
    0.08
  • Analysis based on MONTHLY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.25972
  • SD
    0.32442
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.80056
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.77290
  • df
    22.00000
  • t
    1.10833
  • p
    0.13985
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.64335
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.22688
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.66111
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.20691
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    1.33840
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    2.98022
  • Upside part of mean
    0.57831
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.31859
  • Upside SD
    0.26199
  • Downside SD
    0.19405
  • N nonnegative terms
    14.00000
  • N negative terms
    9.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    23.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.09129
  • Mean of criterion
    0.25972
  • SD of predictor
    0.10914
  • SD of criterion
    0.32442
  • Covariance
    0.02126
  • r
    0.60042
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    1.78479
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.09677
  • Mean Square Error
    0.07051
  • DF error
    21.00000
  • t(b)
    3.44071
  • p(b)
    0.14216
  • t(a)
    0.48985
  • p(a)
    0.43246
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.70604
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    2.86354
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.31407
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.50762
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.14552
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.09677
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.20724
  • SD
    0.32270
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.64221
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.62002
  • df
    22.00000
  • t
    0.88910
  • p
    0.19178
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.79314
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.06331
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.80749
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.04754
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    0.98724
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    2.60083
  • Upside part of mean
    0.54596
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.33872
  • Upside SD
    0.24314
  • Downside SD
    0.20992
  • N nonnegative terms
    14.00000
  • N negative terms
    9.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    23.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.08499
  • Mean of criterion
    0.20724
  • SD of predictor
    0.11039
  • SD of criterion
    0.32270
  • Covariance
    0.02180
  • r
    0.61206
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    1.78911
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.05518
  • Mean Square Error
    0.06822
  • DF error
    21.00000
  • t(b)
    3.54670
  • p(b)
    0.13627
  • t(a)
    0.28519
  • p(a)
    0.46048
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.74006
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    2.83816
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.34718
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.45754
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.11583
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.05518
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.12712
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.15995
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.05190
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.10703
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    23.00000
  • Minimum
    0.80836
  • Quartile 1
    0.96327
  • Median
    1.03999
  • Quartile 3
    1.07880
  • Maximum
    1.23369
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.90782
  • Mean of quarter 2
    1.00807
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.05721
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.12833
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.11553
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.19510
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.09516
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.14798
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.55256
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.12252
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.29374
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    3.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00411
  • Quartile 1
    0.10039
  • Median
    0.19667
  • Quartile 3
    0.20353
  • Maximum
    0.21039
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00411
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.19667
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.21039
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.10314
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.29708
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.26509
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    1.26002
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    1.26002
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    1.65737
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.23098
  • SD
    0.25771
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.89628
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.89494
  • df
    505.00000
  • t
    1.24556
  • p
    0.10675
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.51558
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.30726
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.51648
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.30636
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    1.21092
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    8.49593
  • Upside part of mean
    1.62054
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.38957
  • Upside SD
    0.17350
  • Downside SD
    0.19074
  • N nonnegative terms
    267.00000
  • N negative terms
    239.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    506.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.09688
  • Mean of criterion
    0.23098
  • SD of predictor
    0.13697
  • SD of criterion
    0.25771
  • Covariance
    0.01361
  • r
    0.38544
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.72518
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.16100
  • Mean Square Error
    0.05666
  • DF error
    504.00000
  • t(b)
    9.37764
  • p(b)
    0.00000
  • t(a)
    0.93746
  • p(a)
    0.17449
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.57325
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.87711
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.17611
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.49756
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.31851
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.16072
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.19750
  • SD
    0.25907
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.76234
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.76121
  • df
    505.00000
  • t
    1.05944
  • p
    0.14495
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.64915
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.17309
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.64991
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.17233
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    1.01640
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    8.26281
  • Upside part of mean
    1.60557
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.40807
  • Upside SD
    0.17139
  • Downside SD
    0.19431
  • N nonnegative terms
    267.00000
  • N negative terms
    239.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    506.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.08747
  • Mean of criterion
    0.19750
  • SD of predictor
    0.13720
  • SD of criterion
    0.25907
  • Covariance
    0.01373
  • r
    0.38636
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.72952
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.13369
  • Mean Square Error
    0.05721
  • DF error
    504.00000
  • t(b)
    9.40397
  • p(b)
    0.00000
  • t(a)
    0.77614
  • p(a)
    0.21901
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.57711
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.88193
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.20472
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.47210
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.27072
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.13369
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.02525
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.03173
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01169
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.02394
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    506.00000
  • Minimum
    0.93200
  • Quartile 1
    0.99399
  • Median
    1.00072
  • Quartile 3
    1.01087
  • Maximum
    1.06462
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.98036
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99874
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00561
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.01926
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.01688
  • Number outliers low
    19.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.03755
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.95605
  • Number of outliers high
    3.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00593
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.04630
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -0.00770
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.01589
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.02193
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -0.08930
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.01947
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.02657
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    22.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00043
  • Quartile 1
    0.00487
  • Median
    0.02212
  • Quartile 3
    0.03471
  • Maximum
    0.23577
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00208
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.01397
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.02671
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.13801
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.02984
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    4.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.18182
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.18109
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -2.52018
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.10272
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.10380
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -1.81129
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.23349
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.24023
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.28244
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.25283
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    1.07237
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    1.83200
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    7.96855
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.21681
  • SD
    0.25484
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.85077
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.84585
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    0.60158
  • p
    0.47365
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.92454
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.62293
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.92786
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.61956
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    1.19168
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    9.18758
  • Upside part of mean
    1.67152
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.45472
  • Upside SD
    0.17756
  • Downside SD
    0.18193
  • N nonnegative terms
    72.00000
  • N negative terms
    59.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.15645
  • Mean of criterion
    0.21681
  • SD of predictor
    0.14510
  • SD of criterion
    0.25484
  • Covariance
    0.01667
  • r
    0.45092
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.79192
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.09291
  • Mean Square Error
    0.05214
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    5.73788
  • p(b)
    0.22299
  • t(a)
    0.28708
  • p(a)
    0.48391
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.51885
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    1.06499
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.54742
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.73324
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.27377
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.09291
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.18442
  • SD
    0.25529
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.72239
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.71821
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    0.51080
  • p
    0.47762
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -2.05214
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.49426
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -2.05497
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.49139
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    0.99990
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    8.97789
  • Upside part of mean
    1.65583
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.47142
  • Upside SD
    0.17547
  • Downside SD
    0.18443
  • N nonnegative terms
    72.00000
  • N negative terms
    59.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.14600
  • Mean of criterion
    0.18442
  • SD of predictor
    0.14450
  • SD of criterion
    0.25529
  • Covariance
    0.01673
  • r
    0.45346
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.80112
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.06745
  • Mean Square Error
    0.05217
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    5.77862
  • p(b)
    0.22154
  • t(a)
    0.20841
  • p(a)
    0.48832
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.52683
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    1.07541
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.57291
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.70781
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.23020
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.06745
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.02492
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.03131
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01198
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.02367
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    131.00000
  • Minimum
    0.95682
  • Quartile 1
    0.99313
  • Median
    1.00075
  • Quartile 3
    1.01058
  • Maximum
    1.03723
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.97954
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99869
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00586
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.01980
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.01744
  • Number outliers low
    2.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.01527
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.95818
  • Number of outliers high
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00763
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.03723
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -1.41082
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.01794
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.01869
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -0.42994
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.02040
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.02441
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    10.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00838
  • Quartile 1
    0.02024
  • Median
    0.03780
  • Quartile 3
    0.06652
  • Maximum
    0.10740
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.01443
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.03254
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.04077
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.09171
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.04628
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -8.79774
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.09906
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.09906
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -1.49263
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.11806
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.12033
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.22400
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.23655
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    2.20250
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    2.57921
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    7.55481

Strategy Description

Foster Capital Management

• We trade only the very best growth stocks. Our focus is on quality.
• We look for leading companies in leading industries, the true market leaders. Each company is researched in depth before its stock is purchased.
• Our positions are typically held for 4 to 12 weeks. For the truly great stocks with big institutional demand, we'll hold for even bigger gains.
• Our proprietary position sizing strategy is a core element of our growth fund.
• Each stock is purchased at a carefully selected buy point to maximize profitability.
• We have strict sell rules which ensure losses on every trade are capped and profits are taken off the table when a stock comes under selling pressure. Losses are capped to a maximum of the predefined stop-loss, 1% of account equity.

http://www.fostercapital.co.uk/

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2017-05-17
Suggested Minimum Capital
$15,000
# Trades
391
# Profitable
155
% Profitable
39.6%
Net Dividends
Correlation S&P500
0.386
Sharpe Ratio
0.69
Sortino Ratio
0.94
Beta
0.74
Alpha
0.04
Leverage
1.62 Average
2.14 Maximum
Summary
Higher leverage = greater risk.

More information about leverage

Collective2 calculates the maximum leverage used by a strategy in each day. We then display the average of these measurements (i.e. the average daily maximum leverage) and the greatest of these measurements (maximum daily leverage).

Leverage is the ratio of total notional value controlled by a strategy divided by its Model Account equity. Generally higher leverage implies greater risk.

Example of calculation:
The Strategy buys 100 shares of stock at $12 per share.
The Model Account equity during that day is $5,000.
The leverage is: $1200 / $5,000 = 0.24

This is a useful measurement, but it should be considered in context. This measurement doesn't take into account important factors, such as when multiple positions are held that are inversely correlated. Nor does the measurement take into account the volatility of the instruments being held.

In addition, certain asset classes are inherently more leveraged than others. For example, futures contracts are highly leveraged. Forex positions are often even more leveraged than futures.

Latest Activity

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Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.